Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
July 27, 2023
Category: General, Economy, Recession, Sales, Markets
When we think of economic indicators, our minds typically go to the state of the housing market, inflation or unemployment rates. Nevertheless, as of late, there have been some surprising economic drivers originating from unexpected sources.
To understand this sensation, look no further than Taylor Swift’s “Eras” tour and the “Barbie” movie. The blowout success of Swift’s tour combined with the record-setting box office success of the “Barbie” movie is showing up in microeconomic aggregates.
The Federal Reserve’s historic rate hikes haven’t brought on a recession yet. Right now, we’re sitting in what’s known as a “Goldilocks economy,” where it’s not too hot and not too cold. Currently, it looks like consumers are prioritizing experiences and entertainment over buying things.
That’s evident when looking at Swift’s tour, which is estimated to generate $4.6 billion in consumer spending in the United States alone1. Fans of Swift are spending money on hotel rooms, merchandise and dining out at restaurants. Some fans are dolling out money for custom outfits, manicures and hairstyles. Businesses are also creating special Swift-themed items for fans to buy.
Fans are even visiting local museums, which led to The Country Music Hall of Fame having the best month in its 65-year history. The museum sold 114,000 tickets the month Swift had her Nashville
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
February 16, 2023
Category: Retirement, Economy, Bonds
With a slumping stock market and a slowing economy, early retirees and people looking to retire in the near future need to make intelligent decisions to avoid jeopardizing a successful retirement. Here are a few actions our trusted financial planners recommend to help make the transition into retirement as seamless as possible.
The first thing a retiree should do is examine their spending history to help build a budget. They can do this by adding up all of their annual spendings over the last three years to look at macro trends in spending patterns. Once that’s determined, they’ll want to make investments that can support that budget.
Another way retirees can prepare for retirement income is to create a bond ladder. We’re able to help retirees invest their money while bond yields are back up and high-quality corporate rates reach as high as 4.75%1.
High-quality bonds held to maturity can also provide a household with a steady income for the next few years. And there are a lot of different types of bonds – corporate bonds, municipal bonds, and even United States Treasuries – each with their own benefit. For example, one of the advantages of municipal bonds is the tax status since they are exempted from federal, state, and local taxes, which helps minimize taxes during retirement.
Another strategy that could be helpful during retirement is to take action to stay ahead of inflation. One way to do that is with dividend-producing sto
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
June 02, 2022
Category: Blog, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
Student loans are a great investment when continuing your education so it’s important to know the different kinds that are available and the strategies for dealing with them.
According to data from Lendingtree.com, more than 2/3rds of graduates – from both public and private institutions – have student loans and it’s something that affects many Americans.
For parents and grandparents of current college students, there are a few different kinds of student loans to understand. These fall into four categories: Subsidized, Unsubsidized, PLUS loans, and private loans.
When it comes to Federal loans, there are essentially three kinds. Subsidized are only applicable to undergraduates with demonstrated financial need. Unsubsidized loans are not tied to financial need, and are available to all undergraduate, graduate, and professional students. PLUS loans are available for graduate and professional students, as well as the parents of dependent undergrads. Subsidized and unsubsidized federal student loans don’t require a credit check, and you are able to secure them simply by signing a form indicating that you will pay them back. However, PLUS loans and private loans will require a credit check.
Private loans come from banks and other financial institutions who lend directly to students and their families. These are similar to any private loans, in that they’ll require a credit check, and the lender will want to see proof that you are
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
April 28, 2022
Category: Blog, Economy, Commentary, Dividends, Portfolio
As we all deal with continued market volatility, inflation, and other economic headwinds, qualified dividends can be a great strategy for your portfolio. This is the first in a two-part series discussing possible dividend strategies. So, what are the main benefits we can expect from qualified dividends?
There are three things you should consider when adding qualified dividends to your portfolio. First, they can be a major contributor to total return. Second, you need to carefully vet the quality. And third, they can have very beneficial tax treatment. There are many types of dividend-paying stocks, but there are two that are particularly timely: bank preferred shares, and oil and gas exploration and production.
The first thing to understand about oil and gas E&P is that these are really just common shares of U.S. or Canadian gas and energy production companies.
Many of these companies paid down debt substantially in the last 5 years, have reduced well costs, and have a break-even price with West Texas Intermediate, or WTI at $30-$35 a barrel. And as all of us know who have bought gas recently, it’s significantly more than that!
These are generating significant free cash flow right now, which won’t surprise most of us who have been to the gas pump recently. But many companies have committed to use this excess cash flow to reward shareholders by raising base dividends, and some are even adding a variable dividend based
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
April 13, 2022
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
U.S. stock markets have been declining since the beginning of January and fell further into correction territory after the Russian invasion, though markets recovered from their lowest levels since then. During this correction, the S&P 500 declined nearly 15% from peak to trough, while the Russell 2000 Index and the Nasdaq Composite both briefly entered bear market territory (down 20% or more).
While we recognize that the current geopolitical landscape in Eastern Europe remains highly uncertain, we believe history may be a reasonable guide for what to expect from financial markets.
If history is any guide – and by history, we mean Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait and N. Korea’s invasion of S. Korea, since these are the most recent and similar events - financial markets tend to peak before the actual conflict date, as tensions rise, and the overall S&P 500 decline has historically been 14-21%. Therefore, equity markets may have more downside in the short term, but we may be closer to the end of this correction than the beginning, based on current geopolitical circumstances. However, we do expect financial markets to continue to experience heightened volatility in the short term.
In our experience, sometimes individual investors tend to make emotional and often irrational decisions during periods of financial market volatility. Your emotions in situations like these can be your greatest enemy when it comes to making the right financial
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
April 13, 2022
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
People can make a variety of lifestyle changes to help manage their anxiety. Eating a diet high in vegetables, fruit, legumes, whole grains, and lean protein can be helpful.
Anxiety is a widespread condition, affecting millions of people globally. Symptoms vary, and some people only experience them now and then. However, someone who experiences symptoms for 6 months or longer may have a generalized anxiety disorder (GAD).
Doctors often treat GAD with a combination of treatments, including talking therapies, such as cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT), alongside medications. Sometimes, these conventional treatments do not work long-term. However, some research suggests that proper nutrition can help improve symptoms.
Nine foods to eat to help reduce anxiety:
1. Brazil nuts
2. Fatty fish
3. Eggs
4. Pumpkin seeds
5. Dark chocolate
6. Tumeric
7. Chamomile
8. Yogurt
9. Green tea
Eating a healthful diet should provide all the nutrients needed for healthy brain function.
A healthful diet that contains antioxidant and anti-inflammatory compounds, as well as vitamins and minerals might help reduce inflammation and oxidative stress.
Reducing foods that are high in added sugar, salt, and fats - especially trans fats - may help reduce inflammation. Reduce alcohol, sugar, and coffee as these may increase episodes of anxiety and the associated symptoms.
One report states that participating in enjoyable physical activity may also have a positive effect on mental
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
April 13, 2022
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
Most of us spend our whole lives building wealth, and we want our families and the next generation to benefit. But without planning, it doesn’t work out that way. For example, one study found that most wealth is lost in America within three generations. The biggest concern we hear from clients is, “how will our children (or grandchildren) be spending their inheritance?” It’s not uncommon for an entire inheritance to be spent within a couple of months – which is fast when you consider that these inheritances are often substantial. Sometimes, it’s simply due to reckless spending. But more often, we see it caused by one of three issues: emotion-based decision making, pressure from family and friends, and/or a lack of professional assistance. Let’s look at each of these a little more deeply.
1. Emotion-Based Decision Making
While we can understand grief and emotion in the wake of losing a parent or grandparent, we never make good decisions when we’re making decisions based on our emotions. And sometimes it is the impulse purchases that are the issue – like buying a car, or house, or taking a vacation. But, more often it involves making major life changes, like quitting a job, or sinking an entire inheritance into a new business venture that eventually fails. In the case of starting a new business, people often have a passion for a specific type of business, but don’t have the education or experien
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
April 13, 2022
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
by Jim Lineweaver, CFP®, AIF® President and Founder
Most of us have already filed our taxes for 2021, but that doesn’t mean we’re happy about it! As we saw our tax bills this year, many of us may have wished we would have planned differently last year. While there aren’t many strategies that still apply for 2021, we want to remind everyone that planning for next year’s taxes starts now.
In 2021, many people started their own business or added consulting to their list of services. If you find yourself in this situation, there are a wide variety of tax deductions you can take advantage of, such as writing off a lease or mileage on your car, your home, and computer equipment you might have previously owned. For your new venture, there are also a wide variety of retirement plans available.
Another common question we get each year is about gifting – whether it’s to a friend, family member, or a favorite charity. I always recommend that clients consider gifting appreciated securities rather than their hard-earned cash. Gifting an appreciated security means getting a write-off for its current full value. So, even if you only paid $10,000 for a security, and it’s now valued at $20,000, you can write off the whole $20,000 when you donate or gift it. And you can even gift appreciated property or real estate.
This year, the IRS has also increased the “above the line” deduction that came about in 2020, to $300 a person
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
March 17, 2022
Category: Blog, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
Watch Cleveland Clinic’s Associate Chairman of Philanthropy Chris McMahan and Jim Lineweaver on The Financial Quarterback! Jim and Chris discuss charitable giving strategies you can use. They also examine the Cleveland Clinic’s impact and donor engagement around the entire globe!
Financial Quarterback - Charitable Giving as a Wealth Strategy
Air date
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
February 17, 2022
Category: Blog, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
Most of us spend our whole lives building wealth, and we want our families and the next generation to benefit. But without planning, it doesn’t work out that way. For example, one study found that most wealth is lost in America within three generations. The biggest concern we hear from clients is, “how will they be spending their inheritance?” It’s not uncommon for an entire inheritance to be spent within a couple of months – which is fast when you consider that these inheritances are often substantial. Sometimes, it’s simply due to reckless spending. But more often, we see it caused one of three issues: emotion-based decision making, pressure from family and friends, and/or a lack of professional assistance. Let’s look at each of these a little more deeply.
1. Emotion-Based Decision Making
While we can understand grief and emotion in the wake of losing a parent or grandparent, we never make good decisions when we’re making decisions based on our emotions. And while sometimes it is the impulse purchases that are the issue – like buying a car, or house, or taking a vacation. But, more often it involves making major life changes, like quitting a job, or sinking their entire inheritance into a new business venture that eventually fails. In the case of starting a new business, people often have a passion for a specific type of business, but don’t have the education or experience with the kind of b
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
February 03, 2022
Category: Blog, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
It’s getting to be that time of year again when we all have to think about tax filing for last year. We want to remind everyone of some strategies you may be able to take advantage of on your 2021 tax return.
It’s not too late to max out things like IRAs, Roth IRAs, SEPs, and Health Savings Accounts for last year. You can still make the additional contributions before the filing date this year, which is Monday, April 18th. Maxing out your contributions is always a good idea because it can increase your savings and investments, while decreasing your annual tax bill.
Tax-loss harvesting is another strategy that can help investors minimize any taxes they may owe on capital gains or their regular income. As a strategy, it involves selling an investment that has lost value, replacing it with a reasonably similar investment, and then using the investment sold at a loss to offset any realized gains. Keep in mind that tax-loss harvesting only applies to taxable investment accounts; retirement accounts like IRAs and 401(k) accounts grow tax-deferred so they are not subject to capital gains taxes.
Another common question we get each year is about gifting – whether it’s to a friend, family member, or a favorite charity. I always recommend that clients consider gifting appreciated securities rather than their hard-earned cash. Gifting an appreciated security means getting a write-off for its current f
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
January 18, 2022
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
Commentary by Jerry Herman, CFA®
In 2021 the world returned to some level of normalcy and featured a recovering and generally strong economy. However, we continued to face ongoing challenges from the pandemic, supply chain disruptions, the highest inflation levels in decades, and generally sustained low interest rates. Overall investors benefitted from this combination – with equities strong and fixed-income weak. Fueled by massive fiscal and monetary stimulus, a vaccine rollout and pent-up consumer demand, U.S. GDP grew an estimated 5.5% in 2021, the fastest pace in more than a quarter century.
Household finances emerged from the crisis and spending on big-ticket items surged. Unemployment declined from 6.7% at the beginning of the year to around 4% at year-end with increasing signs of labor market tightness. The year featured high prices and inflation surprises. Through November, the consumer price index (CPI) topped 5% for seven straight months, with the November reading coming in at 6.8%, the highest in 40 years.
Supported by a strong economic recovery and very accommodative monetary policy, the S&P 500 reached 70 record highs during the year, the most since 1996. The S&P 500 returned 26.89% in 2021, which followed gains of 18.4% in 2020, and 31.5% in 2019 - only the third time since 1926 that returns were greater than 18% for three straight years. The Dow was up 18.73%, and the Nasdaq was up 21.4%.
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
January 18, 2022
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
Many people think that estate planning is only for older people – but it actually starts as early as college! When most students go to college, they are adults. This means they can take out loans, manage their time and course load, and generally make decisions for themselves. While parents’ lack of access to grades and other information can be frustrating, if children have not considered their estate planning, the surprises can be far more serious. Besides being the provider of food, housing, and often transportation, parents are the “natural guardians” over minor children. This means they are their child’s legal representative and can act on behalf of their children in financial and personal matters.
For example, if a minor child falls off a trampoline and breaks his arm, his parents can legally make medical decisions on behalf of the child. The same goes for financial matters. Parents can open financial accounts for their minor children, apply for life insurance, and so on. When those children turn 18, their parents’ power over them disappears. If an adult child is incapacitated in a car accident, his parent cannot by default make health care decisions for the child. The same goes for financial matters. So, what do parents and college kids need to consider to protect themselves in these scenarios?
There are 2 parts to this – first, a Health Care Power of Attorney, can give his parents authority over a child’s health d
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
December 10, 2021
Category: Blog, Holiday, End Of The Year, Commentary, Finance, Economy
As wonderful as they can be, the holidays are usually stressful. Between juggling your usual responsibilities, attending holiday parties, spending time with family and friends, and braving the crowds to shop or go out, there is never enough time or money. Here are a few tips we think are worth sharing to help ease your stress and get the most out of your time and money this holiday season.
1. Make a budget: Our recommendation for most families is that they don’t spend more than 1% of their annual household income on the holidays. So, if you have a combined income of $200,000, you would have $2,000 to spend.
2. Make a list: By making a gift list and thinking about how much to spend on each person, you’ll have a better idea of what your budget should be. Although it’s easy to overlook the small costs, those are the ones that can add up quickly. Remember that this budget should also include things like cards, postage, décor, wrapping paper and bows, food, parties, and even travel.
3. Create a spending cap for each person: This goes along with #2 - there are so many groups to buy for – family, friends, coworkers, even the mailman. We recommend creating a cap for each person – a total budget tends to quickly get out of hand when you don’t add it up until your shopping is
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
November 08, 2021
Category: Commentary, Finance, Portfolio, Economy, Pros And Cons
Do you have, or are you considering an annuity? Is it right for you and your financial goals? Annuities are popular for a variety of reasons, and it seems like they’re everywhere. But are they always a good investment?
First, it’s important to note that every strategy has its place. There are many solutions that may only work for a specific set of people – including annuities. Many people appreciate the relative financial safety they may offer.
But, there are also many drawbacks to annuities. For example, the lack of liquidity - once clients place money in an annuity, they’re often limited as to how and when they can get it out. At the very least, they’ll likely have a surrender charge. Some have even more limitations – like how much they can withdraw each year! Often times, these products aren’t explained well, and by the time an issue arises and you need cash, the person who sold them to you is long gone.
So, there can be many challenges annuities offer, but how would investors know? The answer is that annuity companies have to report all the ins and outs of their various annuities to a 3rd party reporting service. We have access to those tools and can offer you a no obligation annuity intelligence report. It will reveal things like how much the surrender charge is, hidden fees and expenses, all the terms of the contract that
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
October 05, 2021
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
The Biden administration is proposing about $4 trillion of new federal spending over 10 years as part of their new infrastructure legis-lation. To partially fund this new initiative, the new tax proposal includes higher taxes on individuals and corporations. These changes could potentially include higher individual and corporate tax rates, higher taxes on capital gains and new individual and corporate tax credits. Let’s take a look at some of these proposed changes:
• The current top individual tax rate is 37 percent. The Biden proposal will raise the top rate to 39.6 percent. This would apply to taxable income over $452,700 for individuals and $509,300 for heads of households and joint filers.
• Tax long-term capital gains and qualified dividends as ordinary income for taxpayers with taxable income above $1 million. That would result in a top marginal rate of 43.4 percent when including the top marginal rate of 39.6 percent and the 3.8 per-cent Net Investment Income Tax. Current law has long-term gains and qualified dividends taxed at 20 percent for those same individuals, plus the 3.8 percent Net Investment Income Tax.
• Tax unrealized gains at death for unrealized gains above $1 million ($2 million for joint filers, plus current law capitals exclu-sion of $250,000/$500,000 for primary residences).
• Apply the Net Investment Income Tax to active pass-through business inc
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
October 05, 2021
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
Carbohydrates often get a bad rap due to the association of their excessive consumption with weight gain, obesity, met-abolic syndrome, and diabetes.
This phenomenon, which some researchers call “carbotoxicity” promotes the idea that the ex-cessive consumption of all types of carbohydrates favors the development of chronic diseases. For this reason, many low car-bohydrate diets have become popular among people interest-ed in losing weight or managing blood sugar levels. They are even in favor among seasoned athletes.
However, several other studies have demonstrated that the quality of carbohydrates that people consume is as important as the quantity. This finding suggests that rather than all carbs being “created equal,” some options are better than others for health.
Carbohydrates are an essential macronutrient, providing the body with energy and dietary fiber to support good health. Excessive consumption of car-bohydrates is associated with weight gain and an increased risk of the development of chronic diseases, such as heart disease and diabetes.
Despite their bad rap, however, carbohydrates offer many health benefits when a person frequently consumes sources of complex carbs and dietary fiber in favor of refined carbs and sugar-sweetened beverages.
Before making changes to their diet, people should speak with a doctor or registered dietitian to determine their specific carbohydrate needs to optimize their health
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
October 05, 2021
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
The country is opening again after the severe disruptions we saw over the last year. But, the stimulus of the past year, coupled with the growing economy and some of the shortages we have experienced are causing rising prices. In fact, the Labor Department is reporting the fastest pace of inflation since 2008. So, what is inflation, and how you can help protect your portfolio?
First, let’s go over the differences between reflation and inflation. Reflation is more akin to what we are seeing now –price increases due to the reopening and growing economy, as the economy works its way back to full employment. Inflation is generally increasing prices in a more stable situation – when an economy is at full capacity, and unemployment is generally low.
To most of us, higher prices affect us negatively, regardless of the root cause. Shopkick, a retail marketing app, surveyed 19,000 con-sumers to see what their experience with inflation was. Of those, 86% have noticed increased prices, and 83% plan to tighten their belts because of it.
Inflation is a problem because it eats at the value of your retirement savings. Average inflation is about 2.9% according to trading-economics.com. So, even in optimal economic conditions, you’re losing 2.9% or more of your savings most years. But there are some strategies you can use to help protect yourself, your family, and your hard-earned money.
First, there are certain asset classes that are historically more r
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
October 05, 2021
Category: Blog, Newsletter, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
If the year ended today, it would qualify as a better than average year for the financial mar-kets. Despite a rocky September, through the first three quarters, the S&P 500 was up about 15%; this despite a 5% decline in September. While we’ve seen volatility in September, if the market can hold this watermark, returns would be above the historical average of 11-12%, and it would qualify as a good year. So, what about the rest of the year?
We are currently in a seasonal weak period for the financial markets. Since 1926, September ranks as the weakest month of the year. The decline this year was larger than the historic average decline of about 1%. Taken together, September and October are historically the weakest 2-month period of the yar. However, the fourth quarter is historically the strongest quarter of the year. Importantly, our July portfolio rebalance was designed to better weather interest rate volatility and tempered cyclical exposure slightly.
In my view, there are three key issues as we head toward the end of the year: 1) The economic restart, 2) Fed Policy and interest rates, and 3) inflation.
Even though the Delta Variant has caused concern, the economic restart, while not bullet proof, appears real and is being driven by availability and efficacy of vaccines, economic stimulus, pent up demand for goods and services, and high consumer savings.
According to the CDC, as of late September about 77% of US Adults have had at
Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
September 23, 2021
Category: Blog, Technology, Economy, Commentary, Finance, Portfolio
With the advent of the pandemic over the last year and a half, more and more people are switching to digital payment apps to help them with banking, payments, and to move money between accounts. These have many advantages, especially in our increasingly touchless world. But which of these are the best to use, and how secure are they?
According to Forester Data, 61% of adults who use the internet transferred money digitally to a friend or family member in 2020, compared to 51% the year before. There are no shortage of these apps available, with offerings from tech companies like Google and Apple, companies that partner with banks like Zelle, and the largest and perhaps most popular companies, Venmo and PayPal.
With so many available, it may be hard to choose one to use and it may be best to use different apps for different situations.
For example, PayPal may be best for large purchases – you can transfer or make a purchase of up to $60,000 in a single transaction. It also provides purchase protection.
For instant transfers, Zelle may be offered alongside your bank’s mobile app. Transfers are instant, but irreversible and there’s no payment protection. It is, however, the only app that doesn’t charge a fee for an instant transfer of funds.
Different apps may make sense for different scenarios, but what about privacy and security? Last year, Venmo found itself in hot water when reporters were abl