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How do elections affect the stock market?

Given the upcoming presidential election in 2024, we thought it would be a great time to look at data from prior election cycles.  We think minimizing emotions and focusing on data is critical when investing.  As can be seen in the charts below, whichever party holds office has not typically had much bearing on investment performance over time.




Source: BlackRock
 

Given this data, we encourage investors to try to tune out the political noise as best as possible in 2024 while maintaining exposure to the market.  There will no doubt be volatility throughout this election year, but if history is any guide, staying invested regardless of the election rhetoric and outcome is likely to reward patient investors.  

Should you have any questions about your individual portfolio, please don’t hesitate to reach out to one of our team members or your advisor. We’re here to help!
 

 

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5 Financial Resolution Mistakes to Avoid in 2025

Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
December 19, 2024 Category: Finance, New Years, Resolution, Mistakes, 2025

As the year draws to a close, many of us begin reflecting on our goals for the upcoming year. Not surprisingly, financial resolutions often top the list. According to a 2024 study by the Pew Research Center, 61% of those who make resolutions include money or finances among their priorities. With this in mind, setting the right financial goals is key to starting the year on the right foot. To help you avoid common pitfalls, we’ve put together a list of five financial mistakes to steer clear of—ensuring your resolutions set you up to reach your financial goals. Not preparing for the unexpected Having an emergency fund is essential, especially in today’s uncertain economy. According to a 2024 Discover Personal Loans survey, 80% of Americans feel anxious about their finances, with many unprepared for events like job loss, unexpected expenses, or medical emergencies. Beyond an emergency fund, proper insurance is crucial to protect your financial plan. Review your life, disability, property, and casualty insurance to ensure you're covered. For retirees, long-term care is critical. According to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 70% of people aged 65 or older are likely to need long-term care at some point. Lastly, if you own rental or vacation homes, an umbrella policy can provide extra protection. Not planning goals Not planning your financial goals is another mistake to avoid. According to a survey by Schwab, only 36% of Americans h

December Market Commentary

Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
December 10, 2024 Category: Market Commentary, Jobs, Market

This month we are focusing on the U.S. labor market.  While having cooled from its red-hot state, it has settled into a relatively healthy position. Following a month of hiring disruptions due to hurricanes and strikes, businesses added 227,000 jobs in November. However, the uneven nature of recent job growth has led many to question the true health of the labor market. Employment growth in 2024 has been concentrated in a few key sectors, primarily health care and government, which have contributed 41% and 21% of this year’s job gains, respectively. Healthcare’s hiring dominance seems less concerning as the sector is still addressing pandemic-related backlogs. However, employment growth dominated by the public sector, which tends to see increased hiring later in the economic cycle, may be viewed as a warning sign. That said, there are important nuances to consider. Government employment as a sector currently accounts for 14.7% of total payrolls. Of the 21% growth referenced above, 90% has come from state and local levels, which appears less troublesome. Moreover, the sector’s share of payrolls remains below its pre-pandemic (2014 – 2019) average of 15.3%, suggesting its recent outsized growth reflects the continued uneven normalization of the labor market post-pandemic. Outside of these two sectors, sluggish manufacturing activity has been a headwind. Still, some cyclical sectors, including construction, leisure, and transportation, have se

Tax-Friendly Ways to Give

Posted By Lineweaver Financial Group
December 10, 2024 Category: Tax

With the holidays right around the corner, it is a great time to explore tax-friendly ways to give money to loved ones or your favorite charities during the holiday season. The following are some great ways to transfer money to others before the end of the year: Qualified Charitable Distributions (QCDs) If charitable giving is already part of your financial plan, then qualified charitable distributions, or QCDs, are a great way to contribute to your favorite charities throughout the year. If you are 70 1/2, you can donate up to $105,000 to a charity directly from your IRA using a QCD in 2024. In 2025 this amount will expand to $108,000. By utilizing QCDs, the taxable portion of your RMD will be reduced dollar for dollar by the amount given to a charitable organization. This will reduce your federal and state taxes without having to itemize your deductions. Gifting and 529 Plans In 2024, individuals are allowed to gift up to $18,000 to another individual without having to report it to the IRS. By staying under the $18,000 limit, there will be no future tax implications for estate taxes. The $18,000 limitation is per gift to an individual, meaning you can make multiple gifts to different individuals before the end of the year as long as they are under the limitation. In 2025, the limitation per gift will increase to $19,000. Gifting to 529 plans is a great way to plan for future education expenses. Gifts to 529 plans are eligible for a state tax deduction. In 2024, Ohio

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